Research description:
Our team has validated a method of environmental sampling for SARS-CoV-2 in which swab samples are taken from floors and processed using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Our work in hospitals and long-term care (LTC) homes has shown that COVID-19 burden is reflected in built environment samples, and that SARS-CoV-2 can be detected in the built environment days before an outbreak is recognized. Based on this promising data, we believe that built environment sampling is feasible as a new paradigm for SARS-CoV-2 surveillance. We have data from approximately 5,000 swabs taken at LTC homes, along with covariates for each home.
We are seeking a SUDS Scholar to help identify the sampling covariates that provide greatest power for predicting pending outbreaks in LTC, and to help the team to design a machine learned model that would provide forecasts for the current and upcoming risk of an outbreak. We will use multiple supervised machine learning techniques ranging from logistic regression to extreme gradient boosting.
Year: 2023
Researcher:
Michael Fralick, Lunenfeld-Tanenbaum Research Institute, Sinai Health System
Student:
Bryant Bak-Yin Lim, University of Toronto